Dark clouds are gathering over Sweden’s economy and exports. The slowdown in major export markets such as Germany – Europe’s growth engine – comes at the same time as Sweden continues to battle high inflation, with both developments now hitting the economy hard.
GDP growth in Europe is expected to amount to no more than 0.8 per cent 2023 and the forecast for Swedish exports to the region is -0.1 per cent. North America and Asia are also losing momentum, and while markets are expected to recover next year, demand will not bounce back to pre-pandemic levels until 2025.
Although uncertainty persists around the Chinese economy, India has emerged as a shining exception in Asia and is demonstrating robust and resilient growth.
As we approach the middle of next year, the global economy is expected to gradually rebound towards its average trend level of 3 per cent growth.
Get the full analysis in this year’s second edition of Global Economic Outlook.