The global economy continues to demonstrate resilience and has withstood more challenges than expected. Europe is on a recovery path, the US economy continues to grow at a relatively stable pace, and parts of Asia are showing strong development, while China’s economy is slowing.
Global growth is expected to reach 2.5 per cent in 2026 and rise to 2.7 per cent next year. At the same time, investment patterns and trade flows are increasingly being shaped by AI, digital infrastructure, energy systems, and defence.
Recent escalation in the Middle East and rising government bond yields have added further uncertainty to the outlook.
“We can observe an increasingly complex risk landscape where trade policy, geopolitics, energy prices, inflation, public debt, and financial markets have reinforcing effects. Understanding this interplay will be crucial for navigating the road ahead,” says Lena Sellgren, Chief Economist at Business Sweden.
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Publication dates 2026
26 March
24 September
