Global analysis

Business Sweden’s global analysis is focused on the macroeconomic and commercial conditions and forecasts that are vital to Swedish companies’ strategic decision-making and operations abroad. While providing insights in the intercept of macroeconomics, trade and investment policies and international business based on well recognized data sources, Business Sweden’s global analysis also integrates know-how stemming from its on-the-ground presence and experience from 40 markets in the world.

Our analyses

Global Export 2022

During the pandemic year 2020, Sweden’s share of the global market for export goods jumped to 1.2 per cent as demand for “pandemic goods” skyrocketed. But the upswing was temporary. Last year, Sweden fell back to its previous stable position – with a 1.1 per cent share. Exports of wood products and electricity gained considerable momentum in 2021.

EXPORT MANAGERS' INDEX Q4: Cold winds for Swedish exports

The downward trend for the Export Managers’ Index (EMI) continued in the fourth quarter as EMI fell by 5 points to 52.8, from 57.8 in the third quarter. A sharp drop in the subindex for expected export demand, especially from Western Europe and North America, drove the overall decline in EMI with gloomy predictions. A temporary global slump awaits next year.

TEMPORARY SLOWDOWN

Persistently higher inflation and soaring interest rates have put the global economy on course for a considerable slowdown next year, but a recovery is expected as soon as 2024. The energy crisis, growing geopolitical tensions and the war in Ukraine create great uncertainty in the forecasts nonetheless. Get the full analysis in this year’s second edition of Global Economic Outlook.

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Optimism in uncertain times

Swedish companies with a presence in 22 key markets are optimistic about the business climate despite today’s geopolitical tension, soaring inflation, high prices and supply chain risks. The majority are profitable and half are planning new investments. Get the latest viewpoints from local decision makers – captured in the annual Global Business Climate Survey.

Special reports

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Report

Energy price shock hits Swedish exports

The impact of surging energy prices in Sweden and Europe is being felt right across society. Business Sweden presents a new survey showing that two-thirds of manufacturers in Sweden are moderately or severely impacted by the electricity price shock – and many are signalling cutbacks.

Report

Looking to Europe

Swedish manufacturers are putting Europe in the spotlight as supply chains in Asia are being re-evaluated. The pandemic and war in Ukraine have given the near-market manufacturing trend a significant boost. These findings are presented in Business Sweden’s latest survey which explores the global supply networks of more than 300 Swedish companies.

Report

Technologies of power

Geopolitics is tightening its grip on international trade and Swedish companies are increasingly impacted by the standoff between the superpowers. This report highlights the consequences of the US-China technology race for businesses and outlines three alternative risk scenarios to 2030.

Read all reports

Contact
Lena Sellgren

Chief Economist Lena Sellgren Phone +46 8 588 660 00

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If you are interested in our analyses, feel free to ask us any general questions by email. We aim to answer all queries within 48 hours.

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Global analysis

Our analyses

Global Export 2022

EXPORT MANAGERS' INDEX Q4: Cold winds for Swedish exports

TEMPORARY SLOWDOWN

Optimism in uncertain times

Special reports

Energy price shock hits Swedish exports

Looking to Europe

Technologies of power

International Trade comparison

Contact
Lena Sellgren

General questions about our analyses?

Global analysis

Our analyses

Global Export 2022

EXPORT MANAGERS' INDEX Q4: Cold winds for Swedish exports

TEMPORARY SLOWDOWN

Optimism in uncertain times

Special reports

Energy price shock hits Swedish exports

Looking to Europe

Technologies of power

International Trade comparison

ContactLena Sellgren

General questions about our analyses?

Contact
Lena Sellgren