The US-EU trade agreement announced on 28 July will reshape global trade as new tariffs, investment pledges and digital trade reforms come into force. The 15% US tariff on key EU exports will be offset by USD 750bn in energy purchases and USD 600bn in planned US investments – but how these policies will be implemented remains unclear.

New reciprocal tariffs and the removal of ‘De Minimis’ exemptions will raise costs for exporters, especially in the e-commerce sector. While Swedish companies now face new challenges, they can also tap into strategic openings in tech, energy, and manufacturing.

Current tariff overview 232 sector edition :

Sector 

Tariff status

Tariff rate

Effective date

investigation Status

Notes

Steel (all)

Active

50%

4 June 2025

N/A

Includes carbon, stainless, pipes, wire; UK exempted at 25%

Aluminium (all)

Active

50%

4 June 2025

N/A

UK exempted at 25%

Steel derivatives

Active

50%

4 June 2025

N/A

Includes tools, fasteners, fabricated goods

Aluminium & derivatives

Active

50%

4 June 2025

N/A

Includes extrusions, sheets, alloy products

Expanded derivative & products

Active

50%

18 Aug. 2025

N/A

Includes HTS Chapters 27, 33, 84, 87, 94

Timber &lumber

Active

10% (softwood lumber

14 Oct. 2025

232 investigation completed

UK capped at 10%; EU & Japan capped at 15%; national security justification; includes raw timber and processed lumber

Wood furniture & cabinets

Active

25% → 30% (Jan 1, 2026)

14 Oct. 2025

232 investigation completed

Includes upholstered furniture, kitchen cabinets, vanities; rate increases unless trade deals are reached

Aircraft & parts

Exempted

N/A

1 Sept. 2025

N/A

Exempted under US–EU Framework Agreement

Robotics & industrial machinery

Under investigation

TBD

Launched 2 Sept 2025

Public comment open until 17 Oct.

Includes CNC machines, robotic arms, programmable systems

Semiconductors & equipment

Under investigation

TBD

Launched 1 April 2025

Commerce review ongoing

Includes chips, wafers, SME, downstream products

Medical devices & PPE

Under investigation

TBD

Launched 2 Sept 2025

Review ongoing

Includes pacemakers, insulin pumps, ventilators, PPE

Pharma: threatened executive action, high impact

The Administration has announced plans to impose 100% tariffs on imported pharmaceuticals starting 1 October, unless manufacturers are already breaking ground or under construction in the US. The measure is tied to an ongoing Section 232 national-security investigation but has yet to be formalised by executive order. At the same time, a new Most-Favoured-Nation pricing agreement with Pfizer signals a dual strategy: penalising import dependence while pushing to lower domestic drug prices.

Heavy trucks, timber & furniture: tariffs announced

On 25 September, new tariffs were confirmed by executive order:

  • Heavy trucks: 25% 
  • Kitchen cabinets & bathroom vanities: 50% 
  • Upholstered furniture: 30% 
  • Softwood lumber & timber products: 10% 
  •  Broader wood furniture: 25%, increasing to 30% on 1 January 2026
Robotics & medtech: investigations underway

Section 232 inquiries opened 2 September for robotics/industrial machinery and medical devices, covering CNC machines, robotic arms, programmable systems, and devices such as pacemakers, insulin pumps, ventilators, and PPE. Public comments close 17 October 2025. Tariffs are not final, but early 2026 implementation is likely.

Swedish companies in advanced manufacturing or medtech should monitor developments and plan for potential cost increases.

Strategic actions for Swedish companies

Business Sweden has already supported several firms by:

  • Analysing competitiveness under partial US supply chains 
  • Adjusting through up-/down-kitting and compliant product reclassification 
  • Sourcing and incorporating by identifying US suppliers and establishing local entities

To broaden support, we are launching the US–Sweden Tariff Intelligence and Advisory, which will: 

  • Track tariff updates and provide implementation tools 
  • Enable peer learning via virtual sessions and expert-led seminars 
  • Connect you with vetted customs brokers and 3PL partners 

Interested in joining or need tailored support? Contact Johan Karlberg or Vlad Månsson

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